Article

Factors in Elections

Thursday, 25 September 2025

Generalisation

Conversative

  • White British
  • Less than A-Level
  • Over 60
  • Rural
  • Males
  • Suburb Labour
  • Ethnic Minority
  • Degree or Higher
  • Under 40
  • Towns
  • Females
  • City

Types of Factors

  • Primacy: factors about the voter - long-term.
  • Recency: factors that change between elections - short-term.

Gender - primacy

  • Males vote more right-wing
  • Females vote more left-wing Ethnicity - primacy
  • White British vote more right-wing
  • Ethnic minorities vote more left-wing News and campaigns - recency Recent events - recency Religion - primacy
  • Christian (weak indicator), Hinduism, Sikhism, Islamism, … vote more left-wing
  • although this may be measuring ethnicity - religion is a weak indicator in the UK. Prime minister - recency Age - recency Generation - primacy Location - primacy
  • Liberal Democrats did well in Southern commuter areas
  • Labour did well in cities
  • Right-wing (mostly conservatives) did well in rural areas